30 Jul · 21:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1537
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hendrych
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrncir
ELO 1508
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H10-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.