30 Jul · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1572
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hyza
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1535
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H53-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.