30 Jul · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravek
ELO 1502
FormLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pribyl
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1604
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)