30 Jul · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1651
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Prochazka
PD
🇨🇿Petr Dvorak
ELO 1551
FormWLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Prochazka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)