30 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1757
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vesecky
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1742
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Bochnak covers set handicap as underdog 67% (45)
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H23-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.