30 Jul · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1604
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pribyl
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1538
FormWWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)