30 Jul · 17:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SV
🇨🇿Stepan Vyskocil
ELO 1557
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vyskocil
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1526
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.