30 Jul · 18:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1572
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hyza
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1567
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H46-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.