30 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1340
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chmelicek
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1373
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
🌟Chmelicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 14% (14)
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H21-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.