30 Jul · 21:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1490
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zajicek
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1466
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.