30 Jul · 21:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1598
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Varecka
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1537
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Sykora covers set handicap as underdog 68% (56)
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)