30 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1655
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1655
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H39-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.