30 Jul · 18:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1557
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pribyl
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1597
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Moravec covers set handicap as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.