30 Jul · 19:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1492
FormLLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1663
FormWWWWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+171
H2H55-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-39)