30 Jul · 21:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1461
1-3Final setsGuzy won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1672
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 58%. The actual result was Karol Guzy 1-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.27
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −7.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kos is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Pawel Kospre 38% → final 9%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 38 pts72 points · 4 games