31 Jul · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1441
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Filipek
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1381
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Marat goes over total as underdog 66% (71)
Fair odds · Filipek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H8-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)