31 Jul · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1504
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1573
FormLLWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 67% (94)
Fair odds · Rek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H36-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-23)