31 Jul · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1501
FormWLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tlusty
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1381
FormLWWLW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marat🌟Marat goes over total as underdog 66% (71)
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H12-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-10)