31 Jul · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1501
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tlusty
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1441
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (101)
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H21-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-6)