31 Jul · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1504
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1457
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (50)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H25-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.