31 Jul · 08:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JW
🇨🇿Jakub Walek
ELO 1470
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Walek
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1470
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 69% (42)
Fair odds · Walek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.