31 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1593
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gola
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1510
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H114-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (114-73)