31 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1478
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1585
FormWWLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H47-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)