31 Jul · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1467
FormLLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stapor
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1608
FormWLLLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+141
H2H43-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-24)