31 Jul · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1520
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jancak
JW
🇨🇿Jakub Walek
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)