31 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1574
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Gola
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1614
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H32-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.