31 Jul · 15:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1661
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Niezgoda
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1533
FormLWWWW
60%
40%
🌟Niezgoda stays under total as favourite 62% (72)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)