31 Jul · 13:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1613
FormWWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stapor
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1493
FormLLLWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H42-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-22)