31 Jul · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1533
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chvatal
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1599
FormWLLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H2-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)