Filip Marat vs Milan Tlusty — TT Cup

← TT Cup predictions

31 Jul · 10:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Filip Marat

ELO 1397

2-3Final setsTlusty won

🇨🇿Milan Tlusty

ELO 1513

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tlusty at 59%. The actual result was Milan Tlusty 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Filip Marat — profile →Milan Tlusty — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marat favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 74.5

104 points played

Over

Set handicap

Marat −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marat −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 3.5

closing 1.33

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

5.15

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Filip Marat is favoured to win, below means Milan Tlusty.

▲ Filip Maratpre 37% → final 9%

Milan Tlusty ▼

Biggest swing 61 ptsTlusty recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games