31 Jul · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1500
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1580
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)