31 Jul · 19:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1638
2-3Final setsDuch won
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1639
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 50%. The actual result was Adam Duch 2-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.8
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Adam Duch.
▲ Karol Guzypre 46% → final 11%
Adam Duch ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsDuch recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games