1 Aug · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1511
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1532
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.