1 Aug · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1509
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Drozd
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1478
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.