1 Aug · 08:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1492
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Drozd
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1509
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Konvicka covers set handicap as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.