1 Aug · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1482
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1534
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.