1 Aug · 09:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1532
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Holub
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1532
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.