1 Aug · 13:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sindler
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1509
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Drozd🌟Drozd covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.