1 Aug · 09:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1766
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bochnak
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1752
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vesecky🌟Vesecky covers set handicap as underdog 65% (83)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H24-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.