1 Aug · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1553
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Koutnik
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1518
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Koutnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (25)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H9-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.