1 Aug · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1508
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1539
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Vodal covers set handicap as underdog 75% (57)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H53-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.