1 Aug · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1551
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruzicka
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jnr
ELO 1499
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Ruzicka stays under total as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.