1 Aug · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1636
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lengal
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1570
FormLLWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H21-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-7)