01 Aug · 08:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1472
3-1Final setsKos won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1643
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 58%. The actual result was Pawel Kos 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.42
Total 77.5
76 points played
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −5.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kos is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Pawel Kospre 45% → final 88%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsKos recovered from 23%72 points · 4 games