1 Aug · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1491
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1592
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (88)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)