1 Aug · 16:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1592
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1609
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (19)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H16-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.