1 Aug · 16:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1515
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sulc
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1554
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Langer covers set handicap as underdog 63% (97)
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H31-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.