1 Aug · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1536
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cizek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1490
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H11-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.