1 Aug · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1490
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1548
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (76)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H13-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)