1 Aug · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Mateusz Szymanski
ELO 1586
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kowalewski
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1668
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)